I would be very suprised if SKY move to a UK spotbeam as they would stand to lose a huge amount of revenue. The operators interested in moving, and with nothing to lose, are the ones on Freesat - the BBC, ITV et al. that are NOT part of a SKY package. The SKY digiboxes provide these channels but SKY do not opérate them.

Back at the end of last year BTSport moved from Eutelsat to Astra 2F UK spotbeam, A few days later it reappeared on the PE beam - you may wonder why. I'm sure there is nothing oficial published anywhere but as it is a pay cannel I expect that the switchboards were clogged with 'UK' residents wanting to cancel their subscription as they were no longer able to receive the cannel - money talks!

None of the Freesat channels are subscription so they will have no pressure from subscribers or be running the risk of losing revenue by losing viewers outside the UK.

My guess (and it's only that) is that SKY will not run the risk of losing paying subscribers irrespective of where they are based so if they move to 2E or 2F they will move to PE beams. If that is the case then you should not worry about losing your tv.

Many UK TV viewers only have the freesat channels however those that have packages tend to have the sports packages. Lets assume the do.
So if there are a possibly conservative 300,000 SKY viewers dotted around Europe what's it worth?

300,000 x subs @ £43.50/month = £13.5 million a month = £156.6 million per year.

Not sure about you but if I was running a business that I wouldn't be too keen on wiping £156.6 million off the bottom line - the shareholders might not be too happy or maybe BSB is so huge they wouldn't really notice. At the end of the day, as I said earlier, money talks.